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Posts tagged ‘Snow’

SNOW FORECAST

(Snow actuals at bottom)

Hello everyone!  It’s pretty much snowing right across the whole of the SE and it will do for much of the day – so here’s the low down!

edsnowman

Jennie’s snowman ‘Ed’ – she says he’s only 6 inches tall, but that ‘size isn’t important’ x Thank you Jennie!

Rest of today:  Kent*/Sussex/Surrey/London area:  The weather system bringing the snow up from France is clashing into our cold air (it’s between minus 1 and minus 3C at the moment).  Therefore while the Easterly flow continues to bring us this cold air, the precipitation will continue to fall as snow.  The winds are light inland, but around from Thanet to Dover are 12-17mph NE’ly and it’s bitter!  The air is coming from parts of inner Russia where it’s -15C …so thank our lucky stars it’s ‘warmed up’ en route to us!

SNOW DURATION:  The snow will continue to fall for all of us in the south east for most of daylight hours. The south coast may notice the snow moving away through this afternoon as the system moves northwards, with the main system clearing the north Kent coast this evening.  What this really means is we all have many more hours of snow to come.  Even once the main system (ie constant snow) moves away we’ll be left with flurries on and off overnight tonight and into tomorrow.

radar

All that blue stuff to the south east of us (over the channel and France) is on it’s way. I predict another 2-3 hours of snow for most of the south east. (3-4 hours for north and western parts of Kent, and also for Surrey and the London area)

SNOW AMOUNTS: 3-6cm will be about the average for London, Sussex and Surrey, but as there are embedded heavier and more prolonged spells within the system (impossible to pinpoint as they are uber small scale features) some places will have up to 10cm (though this would be more likely on the Downs or higher ground in general). 

Kent*: My feeling is that KENT will get the higher average totals of around 6-10cm:  perhaps Whitfield, Aylesham, Ash, Canterbury, Chartham, Faversham, Sturry and maybe even Whitstable and Herne Bay.  Tunbridge Wells, tonbridge, Maidstone, Sevenoaks and Meopham in the 6-8cm category.  Any towns or villages within a 5 mile radius of these places obviously also included.  If you’re on the North Downs you may even get up to 10-12cm, but that will be localised to the higher spots in Kent.  

Tonight:  Further snow flurries.

Monday: A SUNNY start for many – so with the snow on the ground it’ll be beautiful!  However, more snow flurries possible in the afternoon.  I say flurries – some of them could hang around for a while giving another 1-2cm…so it’s by no means over!

Tuesday:  Strengthening Southerly winds of 14-17mph and risk of a few more flurries too.

If you love it – well enjoy it, and if you don’t like it – well, snuggle up with a nice movie and food and enjoy the indoors!

Broadstairs pavilion

Anyone fancy a cuppa? Broadstairs Pavilion

 

So far: (as of 1:08pm) In no particular order (I sound like a gameshow host!)

Singleton, Ashford (Guy Buckland): 3cm

Wincheap, Canterbury (Alison Whelan): 4cm

Sellindge (Hels): 7cm

Snodland (Jamie Harwood): 4.8cm (very precise Jamie!)

Kettering, Northamptonshire (Ben Wesley): 5cm

Ashdown Forest (Kate Bradshaw): 2cm today (but 8cm in total from Friday also)

Saltdean, East Sussex (Mike): 7.5cm

Ramsgate (Joseph Crome) – 6.6cm

Sittingbourne (Jo Byrne) – 3.5cm

Preston, Nr Canterbury (Rachel Louise Beach): 5cm

Tunbridge wells (moi!): 6cm

Worthing (Bob Parkin): 2cm

100 Acre Wood (Clare Harper): 8cm

keep ’em coming folks!

 

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SNOW FORECAST

Hiya everyone – there hasn’t been a moment today when at the supermarket, the coffee shop or even in the high street I haven’t been bombarded with snow questions (tomorrow it could be snow balls…though isn’t throwing them an arrestable offence now?!)

It might have looked pretty this evening but…

Thanks to Nicky for sending in this lovely sunset shot.

                                                                                                                                                      …it’s all about to change.

The forecast.  The frontal systems bringing this snowy scenario are some of the most complicated I have seen for some time, which to me only means one thing – the forecast is likely to still have some surprises up it’s sleeve.  Being in the south east corner of the UK, the little toe in the foot of our island, it is very likely that parts of the south east will see very varying amounts of snow.  Perhaps nothing at all, but some places 10cm.  But the detail – Righty, here goes:

This is the forecast chart for midday tomorrow (Friday) and here’s a very simple summary of  what’s likely to happen.  Remember this is a forecast, not a nowcast!  The two lilac fronts are heading in from the west carrying all the moisture from the Atlantic.  As they hit land they encounter our incredibly cold dry air – which will still be feeding in on strengthening SE’ly winds.  So all that moisture will fairly quickly turn to snow in the cold air.  The black ‘trough’ line over the North Sea is actually a further bug bear in all this.   It’s position means that it slows down the eastwards track of the lilac fronts.  Basically it’s in the way, so the lilac snow sisters stall over us.  Leading to potentially greater totals of snow…

Click on chart for larger image

Most of us should start off with no snow, but we will have a hard frost, with temperatures once again dipping to minus 6C overnight.  The first snow flakes could fall as early as 9am from Crawley to Lewes, and then spread eastwards – possibly snowing in Ashford and Canterbury by midday at the latest.  The winds will pick up to 15-20mph, and with a max temp only getting to freezing – if that – it’s going to be bitter.  The snow will continue to fall (especially for West Sussex, East Sussex, Surrey and parts of West Kent) throughout the day and temperatures remain cold enough for it to settle.  Perhaps if you’re right on the south coast you may see it falling as wet snow/sleet for a time, but there is the chance of snow eventually wherever you are in the south east.

Luckily, the guys at the Met Office have created this map to make things a lot simpler.  The south east is less likely to suffer as badly as the rest of the country, but this forecast only covers Friday.  We may get more flurries across the weekend too…

 

Kaddy Snow2

If there were any place that may get nothing at all I would say Thanet to Sandwich to Deal and Dover – purely because they’re furthest east, but lets wait and see!

Good luck wherever you’re travelling and whatever you’re doing, and don’t forget to watch South East Today for a full forecast with me tomorrow night.  I’ll be on at 630pm and 1030pm Friday 18th January!

 

 

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