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Posts tagged ‘Forecast’

SNOW FORECAST

(Snow actuals at bottom)

Hello everyone!  It’s pretty much snowing right across the whole of the SE and it will do for much of the day – so here’s the low down!

edsnowman

Jennie’s snowman ‘Ed’ – she says he’s only 6 inches tall, but that ‘size isn’t important’ x Thank you Jennie!

Rest of today:  Kent*/Sussex/Surrey/London area:  The weather system bringing the snow up from France is clashing into our cold air (it’s between minus 1 and minus 3C at the moment).  Therefore while the Easterly flow continues to bring us this cold air, the precipitation will continue to fall as snow.  The winds are light inland, but around from Thanet to Dover are 12-17mph NE’ly and it’s bitter!  The air is coming from parts of inner Russia where it’s -15C …so thank our lucky stars it’s ‘warmed up’ en route to us!

SNOW DURATION:  The snow will continue to fall for all of us in the south east for most of daylight hours. The south coast may notice the snow moving away through this afternoon as the system moves northwards, with the main system clearing the north Kent coast this evening.  What this really means is we all have many more hours of snow to come.  Even once the main system (ie constant snow) moves away we’ll be left with flurries on and off overnight tonight and into tomorrow.

radar

All that blue stuff to the south east of us (over the channel and France) is on it’s way. I predict another 2-3 hours of snow for most of the south east. (3-4 hours for north and western parts of Kent, and also for Surrey and the London area)

SNOW AMOUNTS: 3-6cm will be about the average for London, Sussex and Surrey, but as there are embedded heavier and more prolonged spells within the system (impossible to pinpoint as they are uber small scale features) some places will have up to 10cm (though this would be more likely on the Downs or higher ground in general). 

Kent*: My feeling is that KENT will get the higher average totals of around 6-10cm:  perhaps Whitfield, Aylesham, Ash, Canterbury, Chartham, Faversham, Sturry and maybe even Whitstable and Herne Bay.  Tunbridge Wells, tonbridge, Maidstone, Sevenoaks and Meopham in the 6-8cm category.  Any towns or villages within a 5 mile radius of these places obviously also included.  If you’re on the North Downs you may even get up to 10-12cm, but that will be localised to the higher spots in Kent.  

Tonight:  Further snow flurries.

Monday: A SUNNY start for many – so with the snow on the ground it’ll be beautiful!  However, more snow flurries possible in the afternoon.  I say flurries – some of them could hang around for a while giving another 1-2cm…so it’s by no means over!

Tuesday:  Strengthening Southerly winds of 14-17mph and risk of a few more flurries too.

If you love it – well enjoy it, and if you don’t like it – well, snuggle up with a nice movie and food and enjoy the indoors!

Broadstairs pavilion

Anyone fancy a cuppa? Broadstairs Pavilion

 

So far: (as of 1:08pm) In no particular order (I sound like a gameshow host!)

Singleton, Ashford (Guy Buckland): 3cm

Wincheap, Canterbury (Alison Whelan): 4cm

Sellindge (Hels): 7cm

Snodland (Jamie Harwood): 4.8cm (very precise Jamie!)

Kettering, Northamptonshire (Ben Wesley): 5cm

Ashdown Forest (Kate Bradshaw): 2cm today (but 8cm in total from Friday also)

Saltdean, East Sussex (Mike): 7.5cm

Ramsgate (Joseph Crome) – 6.6cm

Sittingbourne (Jo Byrne) – 3.5cm

Preston, Nr Canterbury (Rachel Louise Beach): 5cm

Tunbridge wells (moi!): 6cm

Worthing (Bob Parkin): 2cm

100 Acre Wood (Clare Harper): 8cm

keep ’em coming folks!

 

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Weekend Forecast & New Year’s Eve

Hello folks!  Here’s a peek at what to expect between now and January 2nd 2013.  Forecast area Kent, Sussex, London and Surrey

Kaddy Lee-PrestonLONDON

A screen shot of me delivering the bad news on BBC London last night – cue ‘Sorry’ face!

Saturday:  For most the wind will have been the most noticeable feature so far.  However, the rain spreading in from the west throughout the day will have some heavy downpours within it and lead to more flooding in places.  The worst of the rain will be out of our region, but for us the heaviest amount will be 4-8mm in total for West Sussex and parts of Surrey and London.  East Sussex, East London and most of Kent will tend to have less than 2-4mm – in fact East Kent possibly under 2mm in total today.  Most places should be dry by 6pm though – turning drier from the west from as early as 4pm.  Very windy all day, with gusts up to 40mph inland, but 45-50mph along the south coast.  Mean wind speeds of 20-30mph.  Southwesterly though so at least it’s mild again – though not quite as mild as Friday.  Up to 10/11C (50-52F).  Friday was 12C.  Average should be 8C at this time of year.

Overnight: Staying dry for most, although there will continue to be some showers popping up occasionally on the South coast, blown in on the strong winds. No let up in the wind strength either.  At least it’ll remain frost free!

Sunday: Our best bet of a little break in the rain. Sunny spells and staying dry until later in the day.  Still very windy though, 20-30mph westerly, and it’ll feel quite a bit colder too, despite the sunshine, only up to 7C/45F.   But DRY!

Sunday

A westerly wind means we should be sheltered from many of the showers so should stay dry with sunny spells until evening. Notice the tight isobars though – it’ll be very windy.

Monday (daytime):  It could start dry, but rain and very strong winds will be the general gunky theme of Monday.

New Year’s Eve:  At the moment it looks like a wash out, and a windy wash out at that!  Not very pleasant at all – watch the fireworks on the telly is my advice at the moment.  On the plus side the rain brings the mild air back so it won’t be desperately cold.  If I had to say who will escape the worst of the wet weather I would say East Kent – so less bad if you’re around Canterbury, Whitstable, Thanet, Sandwich and Folkestone or Dover – though of course no one will escape the incredibly strong winds. SW’ly 20-30mph, gusting up to 40-50mph.

New Year’s Day:  Although not perfect, the 1st January will be much better than previous days! A chilly northwesterly wind will make it feel quite cool.  Winds not as strong as previous days though, and although there could be some showers, there’ll be some nice dry sunny spells inbetween – perfect for a first day of the new year stroll!

Have a wonderful time whatever you’re doing, and all the best for 2013! x x

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