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Spring weather on the way!

After months and months of rain we can now prepare for a few days of settled weather. I’m not talking a heatwave,but it’s certainly going to feel like spring!  So, if you’ve got outdoor jobs that you have been itching to get stuck into, or just want a chance of a few non muddy soggy days then here’s how this week is shaping up:

Tues – Friday: Lighter winds, dry weather, sunny spells (best in the SE) – I am very much looking forward to it.  Temperatures a hot rockin’ 13C/55F! That’s FOUR days in a row of decent delectable weather…Yum yum!  It will still cloud over at times, so it won’t be wall to wall yellow globe but it’ll still feel good with the light winds and mild air.

Next weekend: Initially I thought we may be pestered by a weakening weather front from the north, but that risk looks averted- so it should be a dry, if somewhat cloudy, weekend.  Best for sunshine will be Sunday.

Oh, and a heads up my next Channel 4 documentary ‘The Floods That Foiled New Year’ is on Thursday 6th March, at 9pm.  I go up in a helicopter again to survey the floods across Southern Britain.  I’ll explain the hard science behind why this winter has been so wet and offer a few new theories about our changing climate.

Also, I shall be on the BBC on Thursday 13th March and Friday 21st March at 1830 and 2225, presenting the weather bulletins for BBC South East Today and BBC Radio Kent.  See you there!

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Bring on the sunshine!

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Why is it so stormy?

Even a weather girl doesn’t escape the wrath of the weather!  Just look at my poor tree –  totally bashed and squashed by the recent storms!

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A very sorry Sycamore!

 

But why is the weather so bad right now?

It seems that for the last 3 months we have been subjected to some pretty awful weather.  Whilst we can be quick to mention the term ‘global warming’ we must remember that wild, wet, windy weather it totally normal for this time of year, and extremes of weather are also possible at any time of the year.  Added to this the fact that previous winters have been extremely dry, cold and snowy – many of us have forgotten how the wet/mild/windy scenario is actually more our ‘usual’ winter set up.

However, December 2013 had double the average amount of rainfall and was one of the windiest months since Jan ’93, but at least on a brighter note has been the 7th mildest on record in the UK.   It’s the incessant nature of the storms which is surprising many of us.  This is partly due to our old friend the jet stream (very strong winds at about 30,000ft) which, depending on it’s position, can deliver us some really devilish weather.  This winter the jet stream is in the exact sweet spot for pounding us with storm after storm.  Plus the jet is particularly strong at the moment – with winds of up to 200mph – which means our storms our not only more violent, but that one storm is rapidly followed by another…and another.  Until the jet moves further to the north away from the UK we will continue with this storm fest.  And what would you rather, wet, windy and mild, or bitter and snowy?

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Is our weather linked to the bitterly cold weather in the US?

Not really.  The jet that is affecting us does indeed wrap all the way around the world, across the northern hemisphere (therefore including the US) but our storms are generally formed in the Northern Atlantic, hence the amount of moisture (rain!) in them too.  The ice storms and snow affecting Canada and the NE States have been due to an entirely different system.  A huge area of dense cold air that forms over the poles every winter (called a polar vortex because not only is it very cold, but winds travel around it at very high speed) has travelled further south than normal – clashing with warmer/moist air – and causing huge snow falls and freezing rain.  The reason this year is exceptional is because the polar vortex has been stronger than normal, ie. stronger winds and much colder temperatures, so when the polar vortex ‘split’ and was no longer contained in one area it rapidly descended south spreading it’s icy blast. Some places have seen 60cm of snow, and wind chill has meant temperatures have often felt like -51C/-60F!  If you had any exposed skin in those conditions you could get frostbite in a matter of minutes!

So, until the weather charts show the jet stream has been shoved to the north and we start to see high pressure dominating our weather (bringing with it it’s own problems like freezing fog, ice, frost, etc) then the sog is here to stay.

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Car crushed by the St Jude’s Day storm – London, 28th October 2013

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